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Indianapolis Colts’ Advanced Stat of the Week: Win Probability
Published by Nate Dunlevy on May 23, 2012
Article Source: Bleacher Report - Indianapolis Colts
This week, we turn our attention to stats that measure the odds that a team will win a given game.
Win Probability and its player-driven cousin Win Probability Added (WPA) are stats advanced by Brian Burke of Advanced NFL Stats. Win Probability calculates the likelihood that a team will win the game before each and every play. WPA adds up the impact that an individual player has on those odds.
For instance, a team with a 40-point lead with 45 seconds to play has a Win Probability of 100 percent. Win Probability is a stat that explains what happened after the fact. Swings in Win Probability illustrate which plays had the most impact on a game.
These plays can be charted to produce a graphical representation of the swings of NFL games. For games with twists and turns, these charts c...
Read Complete Article at Bleacher Report - Indianapolis Colts
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